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arXivAnalysis / PDEsarXiv:2607.09987

Reflected Optimal Stopping with a Max-Type Payoff: Measure-Valued Stopping Gains and Killed Resolvent Representation

Imagine you are managing a resource that can be replenished at boundaries (think of inventory that gets restocked when it hits zero, or a particle bouncing off walls) and you want to decide the best moment to stop and collect a reward that depends on two quantities simultaneously, where the reward is whichever of the two quantities is larger (after scaling one of them). This is the core problem the paper tackles: when should you stop a two-dimensional process that is being "reflected" off the edges of a positive quadrant, given a payoff that is the maximum of two competing values? This combination of features, boundary reflection, two-dimensional dependence, and a kinked non-smooth payoff, makes the standard mathematical tools for optimal stopping much harder to apply, and the paper develops the theoretical framework needed to handle all three at once.

The central mathematical difficulty the authors uncover and resolve is that the natural object measuring "how much you gain by stopping now rather than continuing" is not a well-behaved function but instead a signed measure, meaning it can concentrate mass on lower-dimensional sets like lines or curves rather than being spread smoothly over the plane. This happens precisely because the max-type payoff has a kink along a diagonal line in the state space, and the dynamics of the reflected process interact with that kink in a subtle way. The authors prove that the usual intuition, namely that you should stop wherever the instantaneous gain from stopping is positive, must be reinterpreted carefully when the gain is a measure rather than a function. They also identify the correct formula for the value of the problem in terms of a "killed resolvent," which is a technical way of expressing the expected reward as an integral that accounts properly for where the process is confined.

The results matter because reflected diffusions appear throughout applied probability, including models of queuing systems, regulated financial markets, and controlled storage. Optimal stopping within these models underlies pricing of certain financial contracts and decisions about when to exercise options or switch operating modes. By providing rigorous verification theorems and a concrete worked example with constant-coefficient reflected Brownian motion, the paper gives practitioners and theorists alike a solid foundation for attacking a class of problems that was previously resistant to clean analysis, and it flags a genuine conceptual pitfall, the sign of a measure-valued stopping gain cannot be read off pointwise the way a function's sign can, which has implications for how such problems should be set up and solved going forward.

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